
Manhattan Vacancies Scarce
By JOSEPH DE AVILA
The apartment vacancy rate in New York City continues to be the lowest in the nation, according to a new report. That’s great news for landlords, but bad news for renters’ pocketbooks.
Only 2.8% of the city’s apartments were vacant during the second quarter, according to a report by Marcus & Millichap, real-estate investment firm. Minneapolis came in second in the nation for low vacancy rates at 2.9% and San Jose was third at 3.2%
Potential homeowners who are opting to rent rather than buy are in part driving the lower vacancy rates, said Hessam Nadji, managing director of Marcus & Millichap. Pent-up demand from young people who were living with their parents but are now moving out also added to the city’s crowded apartment market, he said.
As a result, the average monthly rent in the city increased to $2,749 in the second quarter, or about $47 less than the high reached in 2008.
“We saw a tremendous demand for apartments,” Mr. Nadji said. His firm is forecasting that the median rent in the city will reach $2,895 for the year, surpassing the 2008 high.
After the start of the financial downturn, landlords offered lavish incentives to woo renters. With fewer vacant apartments, landlord concessions in the form of a free month’s rent or payment of broker fees are all but gone, said Senad Ahmetovic, a broker with Halstead Property.
“I’m seeing the high-end rentals that are moving very quickly,” Mr. Ahmetovic said. Bidding wars are even becoming common in hot spots like the East Village, he added.
Whether New York is able to keep up with its run of rising rents is unclear with the turmoil in the stock market and the uncertainty created by the debt deal fight in Washington.
“Where we go from here, it’s a little bit of a wild card,” Mr. Nadji said.
A separate report that looked only at July’s apartment rentals in Manhattan indicated some softness in the market. The report, to be issued Wednesday, said the average Manhattan apartment rented for $3,358 in July, down from $3,372 in June, according to brokerage firm Citi Habitats. Manhattan’s vacancy rate in July was 0.86%, up from 0.69% in the previous month.
Whether the July increase in Manhattan’s vacancy rate was one-month blip or the start of a trend toward increased vacancies is too early to say, said Gary Malin, president of Citi Habitats. Rumors of layoffs and uncertainty caused by the debt-ceiling fight may have caused the small spike in vacancies and drop in prices, he said.
“It’s really going to depend on how long and deep this current situation is,” Mr. Malin said. But if the economy falls back into a recession, “historically the vacancy rates do rise and rents become more negotiable,” he said.
Wednesday, August 10, 2011